Showdown for COP 21
The appeal made by Fabius from the pages of Le Monde on the very scarce official adherence to the environment agreement established in Paris in December 2015 anticipated the signing of the U.S. and China, that will hopefully encourage other majors to confirm their commitments, in view of the UN meeting on September 21

As expected, following the successful ending announced by Laurent Fabius with the presence of President Hollande in December 2015, the real battle for implementing Paris COP21 is now unfolding. Therefore, Fabius, after due consideration, recently sounded an alarm in Le Monde: China and the United States, accounting for over 40% of global CO2 emissions, were the first to ratify the Paris COP21 agreement which was only 2% ratified until last Monday when the main COP21 negotiator, in a long interview with Le Monde, spoke of the difficult follow-up since Paris. Using the international platform of "Le Monde", the former French foreign minister and President of COP21, spoke at a crucial time, warning against abysmal delay in the implementation of decisions that Fabius himself had, in December, among the distrust of many NGOs, some even 'furious' for not having been invited to a final formal discussion with the Member States, termed 'binding decisions' for the States. In fact, however, it was Fabius himself who recalled that, in order to enter into force, COP21 needs the ratification of at least 55 percent of the countries that emit large amounts of CO2 and which, at the time of the interview, just seven days ago, was only 2 percent ratified, lacking the ratification of the United States, China, India, Russia and the European Union.

The adherence of the majors is critical

Being the first to ratify #COP21, #China and the #US send out a signal, aimed firstly at Russia, country with which they need confrontation

Now, China and the United States can rightly lead the group of the "willing", of which the EU must itself be a member. As is known, the main goal (which, however, causes strong corollaries in innovation, science and energy materials in general) is to reverse the course of the global warming of the planet by 2020 and to bring it down by at least two degrees by 2100 with a whole series of rules and incentives passed through 29 articles and 140 paragraphs signed by 175 countries in April at the United Nations. Incentives including – and it is no small matter - $100 billion that the Northern countries agree to pay the Southern countries and developing countries of the world to ensure energy innovation and also to pay for the damage caused by the greater emissions produced by the industrialized countries. The starting line, therefore, was not at the level of 'pomp and circumstance' and also the amazing skill with which Fabius himself led the negotiations last December in Paris (which many felt would be destined to a resounding failure), considering that the European Union itself, in which France certainly has an important role, has made the commitment to have the agreement ratified by all 28 (I mean 27... post-Brexit) member countries of the Union by September.

China and the United States, the source of over 40% of global CO2 emissions, were the first to ratify the COP 21 agreement that had been signed by just 2% until the first few days of September

Laurent Fabius (center) and Christiana Figueres (left, General Secretary of the UNFCCC) exult in Paris after the signing of the Agreement on Climate Change


A maneuver to "encourage" all countries

It appears evident that the old political and diplomatic fox Laurent Fabius (Mitterrand’s young prime minister...) has not raised a cry of alarm in vain. Could it be that he does not know about the meeting planned between China and the United States and, more or less, of a common agenda on the Paris COP? By first ratifying COP 21, China and the United States are sending out a signal of understanding, aimed firstly at Russia, the superpower with which they compare themselves and which currently, and in many respects, is opposed to the United States of America and, traditionally, now also China. Therefore, it is possible that Fabius was aware of this, before agreeing to his long interview with Le Monde, and had understood that it was worth dramatizing at the right point to then publicly rejoice: now, with the EU 'playing at home' and 55% of the 'major emitting' countries ratifying COP 21 to be made mandatory for all signatories, his goal is getting closer... We will have a better understand on September 21 at the United Nations, during a meeting of the States specifically dedicated to following the decisions of COP 21: we will then seriously see whether it was just a slow start or a bigger problem, comparable to the TTIP events.